Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.236385 0.254732 0.274175 0.296375 0.321093 0.347854 0.379130
2025-12-21 0.200719 0.226193 0.254908 0.289927 0.331830 0.380806 0.443044
2025-12-28 0.184810 0.215054 0.250710 0.296401 0.354210 0.426055 0.523965
2026-01-04 0.172175 0.205364 0.245886 0.299900 0.371427 0.465035 0.600598
2026-01-11 0.160991 0.195895 0.239745 0.300140 0.383272 0.497061 0.671059
2026-01-18 0.149495 0.184823 0.230232 0.294467 0.385765 0.515568 0.723651
2026-01-25 0.138730 0.173776 0.219684 0.286099 0.383107 0.525642 0.763901
2026-02-01 0.130478 0.165428 0.212026 0.280871 0.384076 0.540617 0.813320
2026-02-08 0.122804 0.157337 0.204089 0.274449 0.382388 0.550872 0.855742
2026-02-15 0.116588 0.150855 0.197925 0.270028 0.383137 0.564729 0.906024
2026-02-22 0.113261 0.148176 0.196924 0.273106 0.395714 0.599100 0.998975
2026-03-01 0.109071 0.144020 0.193490 0.272126 0.401499 0.622320 1.074261
2026-03-08 0.104950 0.139877 0.190007 0.271090 0.407552 0.647542 1.160254
2026-03-15 0.099815 0.134034 0.183700 0.265176 0.404884 0.656766 1.214837
2026-03-22 0.098051 0.133032 0.184599 0.270882 0.422778 0.706572 1.369785
2026-03-29 0.095778 0.131136 0.183980 0.273973 0.436218 0.749434 1.519133
2026-04-05 0.093004 0.128339 0.181776 0.274185 0.444311 0.782477 1.652519
2026-04-12 0.089265 0.123896 0.176735 0.269167 0.442053 0.793487 1.730706
2026-04-19 0.085253 0.118877 0.170542 0.261756 0.434565 0.792312 1.775166
2026-04-26 0.082076 0.115034 0.166075 0.257123 0.432113 0.801960 1.853474
2026-05-03 0.078869 0.111030 0.161174 0.251425 0.427080 0.805177 1.913673
2026-05-10 0.076201 0.107781 0.157375 0.247499 0.425305 0.815725 1.999913
2026-05-17 0.074981 0.106779 0.157241 0.250233 0.437389 0.860668 2.212402